COVID-19, catalyst for change in the past century

The full text is 3000 words, which is mainly divided into three parts( 1) The mode of raising poisonous insects makes the end of the epidemic a long time away

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(2) turning danger into opportunity, and China’s economic status is more stable

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(3) the Falklands issue, China began to take the lead for its younger brother

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(1) the mode of raising poisonous insects makes the end of the epidemic a long time away

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Recently, there are many hot spots, but the eggs are always busy and have no time to code words

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Originally, they planned to stop for a while

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But some friends think it’s bad

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He doesn’t mind if I’m shorter

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Shorter is better than none

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  The world today is not peaceful at all

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The happy couple of two big viruses spread all over the world, threatening all mankind, namely, COVID-19 and the American political virus

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  The fundamental reason why COVID-19 is hard to deal with is that the whole world has opened the mould of raising poison outside China

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The virus evolves while spreading

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For example, the delta mutant strain recently cultivated in India has strong transmission power

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  Britain was originally the country with the highest vaccination rate in the world

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The vaccination rate was close to 60% on June 24, but the epidemic in Britain rebounded the most fiercely

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  The epidemic situation in Britain has been very crazy recently

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Tens of thousands of new diagnoses have been added for eight consecutive days

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It also hit a new high yesterday, with 17945 new diagnoses

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You know, the population of Britain is only 60 million

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   There are two main reasons why the epidemic in Britain has become serious again: first, delta virus is highly infectious, and 99% of them are infected with delta virus; Second, the British do not pay much attention to protection

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  For example, health secretary Hancock, who took the lead in not complying with the epidemic prevention regulations formulated by himself, made a fierce connection with female assistants in the office

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   How strong is this delta strain? The outbreak in Guangdong was caused by the delta strain

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A confirmed patient appeared in Guangzhou

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He was infected without any contact after spending 14 seconds in the same bathroom

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  In Dongguan, there was an even more evil case

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A student just passed the table of the infected person at the golden arch and was infected because he didn’t wear a mask

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  According to academician Zhong Nanshan, for the confirmed patients with delta mutant strain, the viral load is 10 times higher than that of ordinary strain, resulting in large transmission coefficient (R0 exceeds 4, maybe to 7), fast transmission speed and five generations in 10 days

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   One person can spread 4-7 people and expand five generations in 10 days

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According to academician Zhong Nanshan’s estimation, if no measures are taken, 7.3 million people will be infected in Guangzhou in 20-30 days

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  Delta virus has invaded Taiwan well in China

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However, I am not worried about the epidemic situation in Taiwan, because there are two kinds of high-end vaccines in Taiwan, one is imported and the other is not imported

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  The imported high-end vaccine is AstraZeneca vaccine donated by Japan

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The vaccine was not approved for marketing in Japan and was simply sent to the well in Taiwan

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As a result, 193 people died after vaccination in the well on June 25

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  Why is this a high-end vaccine? Because this vaccine directly destroys the host, leaving the virus without branches to rely on, starving to death, and finally achieving both symptoms and treatment

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  Taiwan well also has a high-end vaccine, which is developed by a local company called high-end vaccine biological preparation Co., Ltd

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Of course, the vaccine they produce is called high-end vaccine

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   At present, the epidemic situation in the world is not optimistic

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Bad news came from Israel

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40% ~ 50% of the 148 newly confirmed cases on June 23 have been vaccinated with Pfizer vaccine

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  At present, many countries have also ushered in the epidemic peak because of the delta strain

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South Asia, Southeast Asia, Latin America and Africa are the hardest hit areas, while the United States and Europe will usher in a new peak this autumn

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  What is more desperate is that India, the world’s largest virus culture dish, has developed an upgraded version of the mutant delta plus, which is more infectious and weakens the role of the vaccine

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  After plus, there are probably pro and max

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With the continuous evolution of the virus, the protective ability of the vaccine is undergoing a severe test

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The update speed of the vaccine is difficult to catch up with the evolution speed of the virus

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  It can be judged that the end of COVID-19 will have to wait until God knows how long it is

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In February this year, Bloomberg calculated based on big data that it would take another 7.4 years for the world to return to its pre epidemic state

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  7.4 years, that is, 7 years and 5 months

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From February, it is July 2028

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2028 is the year of the monkey, and July is the month of the horse

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 ( 2) Turning danger into opportunity, China’s economic status is more stable

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The epidemic is an unprecedented crisis for mankind

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It not only threatens people’s life and health, but also seriously affects social economy and human life, and then affects the world division of labor and political pattern

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  The basic principle of economic globalization is to pursue the lowest economic cost and maximum profit through the global allocation of resources

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This is also the basic principle of industrial transfer

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  The reason why the American industry is hollow is that the domestic cost is high

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The reason why Latin America has not crossed the middle-income trap is also because of the increase of production costs, the loss of low-end industries and the failure of high-end industries to climb up

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  China has become the largest manufacturing country in the world, and has also undertaken the division of labor in the global manufacturing industry at a lower cost

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In recent years, the low-end manufacturing industry does have the risk of outward migration

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  For example, many manufacturers have transferred their production capacity to Southeast Asia, India and other countries

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So modi has vowed to replace China as the world’s factory

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  But the sudden outbreak disrupted this rhythm

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Because the control of the epidemic in Europe, America, Japan, South Korea, South Asia and Southeast Asia is a mess compared with China

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   Since last year, affected by the epidemic, Indian manufacturing enterprises have had difficulties in survival

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The second wave of epidemic this year has made the operation of many enterprises worse

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The operation of many factories is currently in a state of semi shutdown

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  The most unlucky one was Gou, who moved Foxconn’s production line to India, where the epidemic broke out; Moved to Vietnam, the epidemic broke out in Vietnam, and finally had to move the order back to China

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  The profit seeking nature of capital determines that capital fears risks, especially uncontrollable risks

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Therefore, a safe and stable social environment has become an issue that capital has to consider, and China, which has successfully controlled the epidemic, is more favored by capital

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  According to Reuters on April 30, data show that global foreign direct investment (FDI) fell to a 15 year low last year, and China replaced the United States as the world’s largest investment destination

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   In the first five months of this year, China’s total import and export value was 14.76 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 26.9%

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Among them, the export was 8.04 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 30.1%

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  In 2020, the trade volume between China and the European Union was US $709 billion, while the trade volume between the United States and the European Union was US $671 billion

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This means that China has surpassed the United States and become the largest trading partner of the EU

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  Looking at the Sino British trade volume, the Sino British trade volume in the first quarter of 2019 was US $19.54 billion, which fell to US $15.34 billion in 2020 affected by the epidemic, but rebounded to US $25.2 billion in the first quarter of 2021

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That is, the total volume of Sino British trade in the first quarter of 2021 increased by 64.4% year-on-year, and the average growth rate in the two years was 13.6%

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The problem is that the decline in Britain’s total trade volume means that Sino British trade relations have been further strengthened

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Looking at the growth of British imports from China, it is even more frightening

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In the first quarter of 2019, Britain imported US $14.11 billion of goods from China, reaching US $18.66 billion in the first quarter of 2021, with an average annual increase of 15%

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  China has surpassed the United States to become the largest source of imports to Britain for the fourth consecutive quarter

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The 15% growth rate means that it will double in five years

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  The funniest thing is Sino US trade.

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